· 2 min readaisoftware

Software and AI Trends Worth Watching in 2021

Remote-first dev culture, early GPT-3 experimentation, and a brewing chip shortage set the stage for software in 2021.

New year, and the software world is walking into it shaped almost entirely by the one we just left. 2020 forced a remote-first shift onto teams that weren’t necessarily built for it, and the numbers back up how sharp that shift was: LinkedIn reported a 4.5x increase in remote job postings over the course of the year. That’s not a blip. It’s a full-on rewiring of how hiring, onboarding, and day-to-day collaboration work, and cloud tooling has been racing to catch up with distributed teams that no longer share a office, a whiteboard, or even a timezone.

I think the interesting question for 2021 isn’t whether remote work sticks around — it clearly will, at least in some hybrid form — but which tools end up being the default rather than the workaround. A lot of what teams cobbled together last year was duct tape: video calls standing in for hallway conversations, shared docs standing in for design reviews. Expect more purpose-built tooling this year that assumes remote is the baseline, not the exception.

Language models are quietly becoming developer tools

The other thread I’m watching is what’s happening with large language models, specifically GPT-3. OpenAI’s model has mostly lived in demo threads and API waitlists so far, but the experiments people are running with it are getting more concrete — generating boilerplate code, drafting documentation, summarizing text, even attempting rough translation between programming idioms. None of this is commercial-grade yet, and access is still gated, but the direction is obvious enough that it’s worth paying attention to now rather than after it ships in a product you use every day. If 2020 was GPT-3’s “look what this can do” year, 2021 feels like it could be the year someone figures out what it’s actually good for in a shipped tool.

The chip shortage nobody ordered

Meanwhile, there’s a less glamorous story that’s going to affect anyone trying to buy hardware this year: a global semiconductor shortage that started showing up in late 2020 is tightening supply of PCs, GPUs, and game consoles right as the new year begins. If you were hoping January would be the month you finally found a GPU or a next-gen console in stock, I wouldn’t bet on it. Chip production doesn’t ramp up on a dime, and demand isn’t cooling off — if anything, pandemic-driven interest in gaming and home office upgrades pushed it higher than manufacturers planned for.

Put those three threads together — remote work rewriting how teams operate, language models creeping into developer workflows, and hardware supply tightening at exactly the wrong moment — and you’ve got a pretty good sketch of what 2021 in tech is going to feel like: more software, delivered by more distributed teams, running on hardware that’s suddenly harder to get your hands on. Worth keeping an eye on all three as the year unfolds.

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